Geddry’s Newsletter

Geddry’s Newsletter

The Illusion of Leverage: Why Trump’s Trade Strategy Could Trigger the Next Global Shock

As U.S. officials fly to Switzerland for emergency talks with China, the real story isn't who made the call, it's who’s running out of time.

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Mary Geddry
May 08, 2025
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The global economy is inching toward a confrontation it’s been trying to avoid since 2018. On the surface, the upcoming U.S.-China trade talks in Switzerland may look like a routine diplomatic skirmish. In reality, they’re a high-stakes emergency meeting between two economic titans navigating inflation, election cycles, and the slow unraveling of a global trade order.

It is not a matter of who called whom first, though that detail alone has become a geopolitical Rorschach test, but rather, who has more room to maneuver. All signs point to Washington approaching these talks with diminishing leverage and growing urgency.

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